Europe’s EASA Won’t Certify Boeing 737 MAX Until At Least January

It’s another day and there’s another episode in the ongoing saga that is the 737 MAX grounding. The European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA)  does not expect to certify the 737 MAX until at least January, about a month behind the FAA’s current schedule and behind Boeing’s repeatedly stated aim of having the 737 MAX back in the air by the end of 2019.

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EASA doesn’t expect to see the 737 MAX in European skies until January 2020 at the earliest. Photo: Icelandair

Tim Hepher, writing for Reuters, is reporting that EASA expects to have certification flights of the 737 MAX in mid-December 2019 and is looking at clearing the plane to fly commercially sometime in January. Reuters reports that while the FAA is tentatively scheduled to give the 737 MAX the okay to resume flying in US airspace in December 2019, EASA Executive Director Patrick Ky, says they will be lagging several weeks behind the FAA with their clearances.

EASA is not an FAA branch office

EASA, like most regulators,  will be conducting their own tests on the 737 MAXs before the aircraft gets the okay to fly in their respective airspaces. Amongst other things, EASA is responsible for ensuring aviation safety for and within its 32 member states. There have long been concerns that some regulators will drag their heels and disrupt the smooth return to service of the 737 MAX. But given the problems with the 737 MAX, both before and after its grounding, it’s hardly surprising that each jurisdiction will want to satisfy themselves as to the aircraft’s safety and not just rely on the FAA’s say so. 

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EASA notes that they will try to coordinate with the FAA “as much as possible,” but that EASA has its own processes and requirements. EASA boss Patrick Ky said;

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“So we may end up with a couple of weeks of time difference but we are not talking about six months; we are talking about a delay which, if it happens, will be due mostly to process or administrative technicalities.”

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EASA’s Executive Director, Patrick Ky. Photo: EASA.

On the surface, the EU looks to be running about a month behind the USA on getting the 737 MAX back in the air. Boeing has certification flights scheduled early next month in the USA. The FAA needs at least 30 days after the successful completion of the certification flights to lift the grounding, suggesting a best-case scenario of early to mid-December 2019 to lift the 737 MAX grounding in the USA. EASA has its certification flights scheduled for December.

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Finally, things might just be looking up

As 2019 draws to a close, it’s broadly positive that the two big regulators have relatively short time frames for lifting the 737 MAX grounding. It will be good news for the airlines with costly planes parked on tarmacs. How they go convincing passengers to get on board the planes will be another matter. As has been well canvassed, the airlines will need at least a month following the lifting of the grounding to get their crews trained and the planes back in fully operational condition.

In the USA, United, American, and Southwest have all pushed the 737 MAX out of their schedules until late winter or early spring. SWAPA, the Southwest Airlines pilots union, caused a minor kerfuffle earlier this month when they said they didn’t expect to see the 737 MAX back in the air until February 2020.

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The 737 MAXs may just be back flying in Europe late 2019/20 summer. Photo: Norwegian

Going by the current timeline (and these timelines, as with most things related to the 737 MAX, change constantly), the 737 MAX could be back flying within the USA by early 2020. Of course, that excludes Canada who have their own processes and procedures and a flag carrier with a substantial fleet of grounded 737 MAXs.

Patrick Ky’s comments to Reuters, along with Boeing’s steadfast optimism about a return to service for their 737 MAX this year, and noises from the FAA suggesting this might just be possible, indicate the end may be nigh for the 737 MAX grounding. Other jurisdictions will need to get on board but 2020 might just be a better year for Boeing than 2019 was.

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Rod Abid

Boeing’s big mistake was assuming LionAir is a reputable airline. Believe me, it ain’t…
But that’s only one of several mistakes…they really need to redesign this plane. Otherwise airlines will switch to Airbus or Comac or whatever. Just remember how the DC10 was (in my opinion unfairly) tainted by a grounding. Well, this one is much worse. This one involves a system about which Boeing decided wasn’t worth alerting airlines. But this also is what happens when the HQ is moved away from the engineers, pilots, and programmers. The bureaucrats stop listening and disasters happen.

Alex

So great, Boeing and BoeingLite (FAA) say that the MCAS issues have been fixed… What about all of the other areas where the aircraft couldn’t pass modern standards but was given a pass since it’s being grandfathered in under the 737 Type rating? Things like modern fireproofing, modern alert/diagnostic systems instead of a single warning light, lack of redundancy in the rudder cables, insufficient insulation of the fuel tanks? Down the road, are the Max aircraft also going to have pickle-fork cracking like the NG variants? To the best of my knowledge, NONE of these issues are being fixed with… Read more »

Frank

We all knew that this was coming – the FAA will re-certify first and US passengers will be the guinea pigs for Boeing. That’ll be the big question – how long can airlines fly the Max with a less then usual load factor, because passengers avoid the jet for some time, preferring to ‘wait and see’? As a carrier crunching the numbers, it can’t be very comforting knowing that the jet you purchased to be fuel efficient and save you money – will cost you more money. Boeing must be hoping that in the initial 6 months to a year,… Read more »

In-Frequent Flyer

Unless someone flying it has a problem. If that happens, people will be quick to point the finger at Boeing; but even so, it’s still a matter of whether the aircraft was at fault, or the person piloting it.

Jimbobla

And after the next crash, what then. Any airline that puts in a purchase order from this time going forward will need to think about that.