• 

  Qatar Airways

  IATA/ICAO Code:

  QR/QTR

  Airline Type:

  Full Service Carrier

  Hub(s):

  Doha Hamad International Airport

  Year Founded:

  1993

  Alliance:

  oneworld

  CEO:

  Akbar Al Baker

  Country:

  Qatar

Akbar Al Baker, who presently serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Middle Eastern carrier Qatar Airways, has expressed his concerns that the airline industry may be set to face another recession. The reasoning behind his comments is the increase in oil prices due to the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

Oil prices are rising due to the conflict

Ever since Russian forces made their first advances into Ukraine nearly three months ago, the conflict has impacted the aviation industry in different ways. Airlines have had to re-route flights around dangerous airspace, leased aircraft have become stranded in Russia, and the Antonov An-225 has been destroyed.

However, the nature of the conflict means that longer-term effects are also likely. As Simple Flying reported in March, the energy shock caused by the war has caused oil prices to reach their highest levels since 2008. This, in turn, has the potential to cause ticket prices to subsequently rise by as much as 15% this summer.

Aviation historians are already well aware of the kind of impact that an oil crisis can have on the industry. Indeed, the sector faced a similar situation in 1973, forcing airlines to make various strategic decisions with the intention of saving fuel. Carriers faced widespread cancelations, with Lufthansa losing 6% of its passengers.

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Potential for a second recession

While the immediate impacts of the present oil situation are clear-cut, in the form of increased ticket prices, the industry may also feel its effects further down the line. Specifically, as Qatar Airways CEO Akbar Al Baker has recently warned, there may even be the potential for another recession. Indeed, Gulf News quotes him as stating in an interview with John Strickland that:

"Once the cost of energy rises, then the cost to carry goods and passengers rises. All this also could start a second recession in our industry."

Of course, there is still considerable uncertainty in terms of how long the conflict may last, or even where else it might affect. In this regard, Al Baker is urging caution from his fellow industry professionals. He went on to explain that:

"I hope I’m wrong, but we need to be prepared. We need to be on our guard too, [because] anything could happen over the next 12-24 months. We also don’t know if this conflict will go beyond the borders of Ukraine."

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A mixed year for Qatar Airways

2022 looks set to prove to be a year of mixed fortunes for Al Baker's airline. Indeed, the carrier is still caught up in a long-standing dispute with Airbus, regarding paint issues on its A350s. On the other hand, Qatar's hosting of the 2022 FIFA World Cup later in the year will likely provide a welcome traffic boost. In any case, the airline will hope for smoother sailing as it looks to chart its post-coronavirus recovery.

What do you make of Al Baker's thoughts regarding the potential for a recession? Has the ongoing conflict impacted your travel plans? Let us know your thought and experiences in the comments.

Source: Gulf News