With the launch of any aircraft type, orders and major commitments from airlines can often cause a 'snowball effect.' Something that was previously obscure and niche suddenly gains credibility and increased financial backing and becomes more lucrative. Yesterday's shocking announcement from United Airlines for up to 50 Boom Overtures might just lead to even more airline interest in supersonic commercial air travel.

Who's onboard so far?

United's announcement of a provisional order for 15 supersonic Overture jets from Boom (with an option for 35 additional aircraft) isn't actually the first news of a commercial airline backing Boom Supersonic.

Indeed, Japan Airlines was fairly early in its dealings with the American supersonic firm. In December 2017, the carrier confirmed that it had pre-ordered up to 20 jets from Boom.

"As a strategic investor, JAL collaborates with Boom to refine the aircraft design and help define the passenger experience for supersonic travel." - Boom Supersonic

According to Tech Crunch, Boom had announced a deal with Virgin Group in 2016 for an option for ten planes. The deal was estimated to be worth around $2 billion. However, despite all the press that emerged at the time, Virgin Group does not appear to be listed as a partner in the same way as Japan Airlines and United Airlines. Virgin Galactic's pursuit of its own supersonic jet is an indication that the two companies went their separate ways.

United leads the way

With interest in as many as 50 supersonic passenger jets, United currently leads the way in developing a future fleet of faster-than-sound passenger aircraft. The airline expects to operate the Overture on transoceanic routes, including San Francisco to Tokyo, New York to Frankfurt, and of course, New York to London.

While Japan Airlines' commitment was significant as well, the United Airlines deal is a significant boost to the program. Indeed, it wouldn't be far-fetched to predict that other American carriers might follow in United's footsteps. After all, the US aviation market is highly competitive, and the three major US carriers often find themselves trying to 'one-up' each other.

If this were to happen, then it might spark further interest from airlines around the world, with carriers in the Middle East and Europe hoping to get in on the action.

 

Just the beginning of airline interest?

When major airlines sign commitments, it signals to the rest of the airline sector that the project has significant potential to become a reality. This is because any smart customer would have conducted thorough research into the project before making a significant investment. Additionally, any financial commitments will ensure that the project has the resources it needs to continue developing the aircraft and bring it to market. Thus, the latest order might just be the beginning.

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If you go back in time and look at the development of the Concorde, you'll see that it wasn't just British Airways and Air France that had made commitments for the supersonic jet. Indeed, while the two European carriers would ultimately be the only airlines taking delivery of and operating the jet, many, many more airlines had also placed options.

The following table shows all the airlines and their options or orders. Data is sourced from the website Heritage Concorde.

Therefore, with the most recent announcement from United Airlines, we wouldn't be surprised to see other carriers follow suit and place orders or options of their own.

Who do you think might be next in placing an order with Boom Supersonic? Do you think another US carrier will join soon? Let us know your predictions and guesses by leaving a comment.